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I ran some simulations to determine the odds if anyone is interested (i'm sure both races will have their own odds posted shortly) Unlike the hardrock 100 lottery, which allots extra tickets for volunteer work, western states gives runners no way to enhance their chances other than the passage of time. Both don't include the landing on the waitlist in the odds, so the true odds of getting to the starting line are slightly higher.
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When i pulled off the magic trick of winning the western states lottery with just one single ticket, the odds were still at 0.9% It’s safe to say it’s only going to get more difficult to get into western states in the years ahead. I'm not sure if this makes much of a difference, but the number of people trying to get into this iconic race has even increased since my shot in 2022.
A look at the numbers behind the western states 100 lottery and its qualifying races.
The next drawing will take place dec 6, 2025, in auburn, calif Tickets are $5 each, or $4 when buying 10 or more. Updated with the latest scratches, entrants off the wait list, and top contenders for the win at the 2025 western states 100 on june 28.
Fast forward to 2022, and these predictions seem to have become reality Many lottery applicants will likely have worse odds this year than last year, despite their ticket counts doubling
